The gap between pre-draft projections and actual selections can reveal systemic misjudgments in quarterback evaluation. According to CBS Sports’ analysis of this year’s draft, two notable deviations occurred: Alabama’s Ty Simpson rose into the top half of the first round, while LSU’s Garrett Nussmeier fell outside the top nine quarterbacks taken, landing at QB10. The divergence suggests that team-specific board assessments diverged sharply from consensus media rankings. Simpson’s ascent implies that at least half the league valued his toolset—mobility, arm strength, or intangibles—more than publicly assumed. Nussmeier’s drop, by contrast, indicates that concerns over consistency or decision-making may have been underweighted in pre-draft discourse. Whether these outcomes reflect refined insider information or simply outlier risk preferences remains unresolved, leaving the accuracy of the current quarterback scoring framework open to scrutiny.